I'm a great believer in the US stock market. The global market to a lesser degree, because they're all newer, and there's more uncontrolled external factors like regulation, corruption and war.
People I know in professional circles tend to be naturally pessimistic about the market.
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Yes, markets crash. They've always crashed, and they've always returned.
For the market to crash to zero, you'd have to say: "There is no value left in anything in the market." This will never happen. There will always be a floor, where someone with cash under their mattress will begin buying again.
The stock market always rebounds. It always has.
The challenge is knowing when exactly!
I bought in to the stock market in June 2018. The market was steady aand grew for a couple of months.
And then... it crashed, spectacularly, falling 20% from its peak.
In October 2018, the Dow topped 26,500, and was approaching 27,000.
By mid December it was below 22,000!
But I remembered what I always believe: the stock market rebounds.
I posted this on LinkedIn:
Just to show this wasn't a total act of hubris, here's the chart since then.
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In fact, since i posted this, the market has recovered almost entirely. The Dow is back around 26,500.
So do I sell, knowing another crash is imminent? Or hold on to it?
I don't think I'm going to worry about it.